Serious crisis in Central Europe - peering into the ground
Guillem Burset predicts when the Spanish pig price will bottom out, and even dares to give us a number!
Guillem Burset predicts when the Spanish pig price will bottom out, and even dares to give us a number!
Spain's production has grown 90% in 32 years, from slaughtering 29 million head of pigs in 1989 to slaughtering more than 56 million in 2021. Explosive growth no matter how you look at it.
September will show in all its harshness the precariousness of the present moment: pigs will arrive for slaughter in droves and it remains to be seen whether slaughterhouses will be willing to process those pigs whose pork they cannot sell.
Currently, the pig price in Italy is set by a Single National Commission (CUN), which began functioning on April 15, 2011.
We are so unmoored from “normal” that it makes sense to situate the current pork industry within the current macro environment.
Virtually absent pork exports to China and poor demand in the EU lead to a 17% drop in Spanish price in 7 weeks, and it will keep dropping.
How is the growing demand for greater animal welfare on farms articulated?
For the first time in 20 years, Spanish prices fell in June. We are in an extremely exceptional situation that must be corrected as soon as possible.
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Sign upAlready a member?How will policies geared toward the environment and animal welfare shape our swine industry? Here's an overview of the potentially limiting factors.
Pig market: Unbridled in Spain, unsettled in Europe, and with question marks in China. Pork market: rock bottom in Europe.
The pig price in Spain is the most expensive in Europe and Burset predicts that it is very close to the upper limit. China is decreasing imports, buying at cheaper prices, and therefore, is absent in the Spanish market.
While European prices are forecast to be lower than in the previous two years, 333 users in the Americas are forecasting higher prices. China's forecasts remain between 2019 and 2020 levels.
When thinking on your productions system, maybe your supply chain shock planning is now as critical as bio-security.
The price of pork continues to rise and Burset makes a prediction for June. It all seems to be good news for producers and slaughterhouses but the processing industry is in for a storm.
It seems that the deficit in China will last all year and the flow of exports from Spain to this large Asian country will not let up...
IFIP predicts a marked decline in pig production in northern Europe, while Spain will continue to grow. In the eastern countries, Romania stands out, where there are companies investing.
A consequence of both developing natural disasters (spreading drought) and new government policies…
Analyst Guillem Burset reviews the current situation of the main European pig markets. Spain stands out against the current. Will it be able to hold out?
In an unprecedented year, how did 333 users’ predictions match up with the actual average pig price in their country? Let’s compare the results from 13 countries.
A summary of how the Argentine pig industry has grown, looking at production, imports, exports. What are projections like for the future?
IFIP with InterPIG data summarizes how production costs evolved in 19 different countries and regions.
It must be acknowledged that for Spanish swine industry not only has not been a bad year but it rather has been an excellent year.
Prices are drifting down to close out the year and if you look to the futures as a guide for next year, it is boringly normal. This happens when people have no real idea what to expect…
In view of the unprecedented time we are living in, we are publishing this monthly commentary a few days early.
Welcome to 333
Connect, share, and interact with the largest community of professionals in the swine industry.
Celebrating 172908Users on 333!
Sign upAlready a member?How the pig prices are negotiated in Spain's reference market? Mercolleida represents the market with the highest pig slaughtering activity within the European Union.
Pig prices in the European markets deteriorated significantly last week. The German market was the only one to hold out.
The price of pork in Spain is the highest in Europe, both currently and in terms of the average so far this year (although the downward trend observed is irreversible in the short-term and will continue).
Spanish producers should make it a priority to be more efficient and should realize that growth cannot continue indefinitely.
Lots of things brewing out there with both supply and demand. Rarely do we get such action at the same time on both sides of the price determination.
In less than 48 hours German exports halted, so every week about 9,000 extra tonnes of pork need to be sold within the EU.
How long this will last is anyone’s guess but here are a few things which combine to provide the briefest pause, for a moment of hope.
Spanish slaughterhouses are demonstrating extraordinary resilience. Pig prices in Spain are grossly higher than in any of the competing European countries.