A grand majority of countries expect maximum prices much higher than those recorded in the last three years.
Floods, African swine fever, tariffs war, heat waves, and some more issues... How will they affect the once-in-a-lifetime profit-palooza that many pork industry participants hoped for earlier?
We think that the price will remain where it is now. We don't exclude any rise: the “beep” of the electrocardiogram, but without a real projection.
A hard Brexit would mean a fall of EU pork exports to the UK of 48%, a fall on pig prices of 7% and a total of 33,000 job losses in the European meat industry.
China is still buying, but with a great moderation. Either way, the pig price in Spain will still grow. In late May 2019 it exceeds €1.41, and summer has not started yet.
What lessons can be drawn from the current situation in China in order to face future pork production threats beyond health issues?