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Evolution of ASF cases in Europe in the first quarter of 2026

Outbreaks of African swine fever in Europe during Q1 2026 have trended downward in wild boar and domestic pigs.

Total number of confirmed ASF outbreaks in wild boar during Q1 2025. Source: 333 based on ADIS data.

Total number of confirmed ASF outbreaks in wild boar during Q1 2025. Source: 333 based on ADIS data.

11 May 2026
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Wild boar

During the first quarter of 2026, outbreaks of African swine fever (ASF) in wild boar in Europe decreased by 16% compared to the same period in 2025 (3760 cases vs. 4481), although there are significant differences between countries.

There were significant reductions in wild boar outbreaks in countries with previously high incidence, such as Poland (from 1,465 to 921 outbreaks) and Germany (from 885 to 260). Decreases were also observed in Greece, Latvia, and Ukraine.

However, this trend is not uniform; some countries have registered notable increases. Among the countries with the greatest surge, Lithuania has gone from 296 to 569 outbreaks (+92%), Croatia from 7 to 76 (+986%), and Italy from 289 to 477 (+65%). Serbia has also seen an increase in wild boar cases, from 23 to 61, while Moldova has seen a rise from 5 to 15. The most striking is the emergence of the disease in Spain at the end of last year, which has reported 33 outbreaks during the first quarter of 2026 (ADIS data as of April 15).

Number of ASF cases in wild boar during Q1 2026 compared to 2025. Source: 333 based on ADIS data.

Number of ASF cases in wild boar during Q1 2026 compared to 2025. Source: 333 based on ADIS data.

Domestic pigs

Regarding cases in domestic pigs, to date only seven countries have reported outbreaks during the first quarter of 2026: Croatia (1), Latvia (1), Romania (73), Bosnia and Herzegovina (1), Moldova (9), Serbia (22), and Ukraine (2), resulting in an overall reduction of approximately 35% compared to the same period last year. Romania continues to account for the majority of outbreaks, although with a 30% reduction (from 104 to 73). Decreases were also observed in Moldova and Bosnia and Herzegovina, while Serbia has seen an increase in cases (from 12 to 22). In countries such as Italy and Croatia, the situation remains stable or is improving slightly.

Find more information related to the disease in our ASF section.

May 4, 2026/ 333 Staff with ADIS data.

See the "Disease manual" for more information

African swine feverAfrican swine fever is one of the most important viral diseases in pigs. It is a systemic disease and is notifiable in most countries, that affects domestic and wild swine. There are no effective vaccines or treatments. It does not affect humans.

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