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The Mexican pig crop is forecast to increase 2% to 21.1 million head in 2026. A primary factor for the increase is investments in improved genetics and biosecurity in recent years.
Slaughter and pork production are forecast to rise to 19.0 million head and 1.5 MMT CWE, respectively. Favorable market prices, stable production costs, and improved swine genetics are driving this growth. Population growth, higher disposable incomes, and robust consumption within the hotel, restaurant, and institution sector are driving demand for local pork.
Consumption is projected to rise 4% to 2.8 MMT CWE. Mexico's pork market is currently undergoing expansion, driven by a confluence of factors including a growing population and increased protein consumption.
Imports are expected to increase 3% to 1.6 MMT CWE. Despite rising domestic production, Mexico’s household and commercial demand for pork continues to outpace supply, driving strong import volumes. The United States remains Mexico’s top pork supplier, supported by geographic proximity and duty-free access under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).
Exports are forecast to be 210,000 MT CWE, down 3%, due to lost market share to competitors in Asia. The strong domestic demand for pork is expected to continue to divert products from export markets.
Note: This information reflects animal disease policies/restrictions and trade policies in place as of August 1, 2025, and assumes their continuation.
August 27, 2025/ USDA/ United States.
https://www.fas.usda.gov
