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First global pork production estimates for 2026 from USDA
The USDA projects that global pork production in 2026 will remain virtually stable, while exports will decline slightly.
Projections for key variables in global pig farming for 2025 - December 9, 2025, annual variations. Prepared by 333 Latin America with data from FAS - USDA.
Global forecasts
Global pork production for 2026 is expected to reach 117.2 million tons (Mt), representing a slight 0.1% increase compared to 2025 (117.0 Mt).
Global exports are expected to fall by 0.8% compared to 2025, going from 10.4 to 10.3 Mt.
Imports are expected to reach 9.4 Mt in 2026, an increase of 1.8% compared to 2025 (9.3 Mt).
Apparent consumption is expected to increase by 0.3% in 2026, rising from 115.9 to 116.3 Mt.
Forecasts for leading countries
China is forecast to produce 57.2 Mt in 2026, maintaining the same volume as in 2025. On the other hand, a 1.4% increase in import volume is estimated, which would reach 1.5 Mt.
European Union production is expected to fall by 1.2% in 2026, reaching 21.5 Mt. With an estimated total of 2.8 Mt, exports are expected to fall by 7.4%. Imports are forecast to reach 105,000 t.
In 2026, the United States is expected to maintain production at the same levels as in 2025 (12.5 Mt), with exports expected to increase by 0.7% to 3.2 Mt.
Vietnam is expected to reach a production of 4.0 Mt in 2026, representing an increase of 3.2% over the previous year. In contrast, imports are expected to fall by 8% to 115,000 t.
Japan is expected to remain the world's second-largest importer of pork in 2026 with 1.48 million tons, which is 1.4% higher than the estimate for 2025.
Brazil is expected to increase its production volume by 1.3% in 2026, reaching 4.7 Mt. Exports are also expected to reach 1.8 Mt, representing an increase of 3.8% compared to 2025.
Mexico's production is expected to grow by 3.3% to approximately 1.4 Mt in 2026. It will also remain the world's and Latin America's leading importer with 1.62 Mt, which is 0.9% above the 2025 total.
Production in Canada is expected to increase by 0.7% in 2026 to 2.2 Mt, and exports are expected to grow by 1.4% to around 1.5 Mt.
December 30, 2025/ 333 Latin America with data from USDA. https://apps.fas.usda.gov/
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