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Pork production is forecast to expand 2% in 2026 to 980,000 MT CWE, supported by expanded coverage of the government-controlled African Swine Fever (ASF) vaccine rollout, heightened biosecurity measures implemented by the swine industry, and adoption of available modern technologies. The lower cost of feed is expected to provide cost relief and enhance profitability. Due to an ASF resurgence in the second half of 2024, swine production had contracted by 5% year-over-year in 2024 and by 5.6% in the first half of 2025, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority. Additionally, the inventory of live swine as of July 1, 2025, was 9.01 million heads, the lowest since 2019.
In 2026, pork consumption is forecast to increase 4% to 1.73 million MT CWE, driven by a sustained increase in population and robust economic growth. The Philippine government also continues to implement measures to keep inflation within a target range, which will help consumers access affordable meat products.
Pork imports are forecast 7% higher in 2026 at 750,000 MT CWE amid local production challenges, driven by an animal disease outbreak, combined with increased demand due to the growing population. Brazil is expected to remain the Philippines’ top market source of imported pork products, following the accreditation granted to its pork exporters and benefitting from its competitive pricing.
September 19, 2025/ USDA/ United States.
https://apps.fas.usda.gov
